Stock Selection

This is dedicated to individuals who wish to purchase individual stocks. I wants to share along the methods Personally i have tried over time to pick stocks that I are finding being consistently profitable in actual trading. I want to utilize a mixture of fundamental and technical analysis for selecting stocks. My experience indicates that successful stock selection involves two steps:


1. Select a stock while using fundamental analysis presented then
2. Confirm that the stock can be an uptrend as indicated by the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average Line (EMA) being over the 100-Day EMA

This two-step process boosts the odds that the stock you decide on is going to be profitable. It even offers a signal to offer Automatic Income Method which includes not performed as expected if it’s 50-Day EMA drops below its 100-Day EMA. It is another useful means for selecting stocks for covered call writing, a different type of strategy.

Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysis could be the study of monetary data such as earnings, dividends and your money flow, which influence the pricing of securities. I use fundamental analysis to aid select securities for future price appreciation. Over recent years Personally i have tried many strategies to measuring a company’s rate of growth so as to predict its stock’s future price performance. I have used methods such as earnings growth and return on equity. I are finding these methods aren’t always reliable or predictive.

Earning Growth
For example, corporate net earnings are susceptible to vague bookkeeping practices such as depreciation, cash flow, inventory adjustment and reserves. These are common susceptible to interpretation by accountants. Today inside your, corporations they are under increasing pressure to overpower analyst’s earnings estimates which ends up in more aggressive accounting interpretations. Some corporations take special “one time” write-offs on his or her balance sheet for things like failed mergers or acquisitions, restructuring, unprofitable divisions, failed developing the site, etc. Many times these write-offs aren’t reflected as a continue earnings growth but appear as a footnote over a financial report. These “one time” write-offs occur with more frequency than you may expect. Many companies that form the Dow Jones Industrial Average have got such write-offs.

Return on Equity
One other indicator, which I have found is just not necessarily predictive of stock price appreciation, is return on equity (ROE). Conventional wisdom correlates a top return on equity with successful corporate management that’s maximizing shareholder value (the better the ROE the greater).

Recognise the business is a bit more successful?
Coca-Cola (KO) having a Return on Equity of 46% or
Merrill Lynch (MER) having a Return on Equity of 18%

The answer is Merrill Lynch by measure. But Coca-Cola carries a much higher ROE. How is possible?

Return on equity is calculated by dividing a company’s post tax profit by stockholder’s equity. Coca-Cola is indeed over valued that its stockholder’s equity is merely corresponding to about 5% from the total monatary amount from the company. The stockholder equity is indeed small that almost any amount of post tax profit will develop a favorable ROE.

Merrill Lynch on the other hand, has stockholder’s equity corresponding to 42% from the monatary amount from the company and needs a greater post tax profit figure to produce a comparable ROE. My point is the fact that ROE won’t compare apples to apples so therefore is not an good relative indicator in comparing company performance.
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